A new PE playbook: Economic headwinds spur private equity evolution

03 Sep 2024
2 minutes

This report explores the ways in which PE firms are adapting to a changed economic environment where IPOs and exits are challenging, and why this is leading to a broader PE market evolution. It highlights some of the creative solutions being adopted to maintain cashflow and delay selling assets, the benefits and potential risks of these structures, and how PE firms are managing changes to valuation fundamentals.

The record returns that PE funds achieved in the last decade by capturing value from cheap capital and healthy equity markets are receding. In the present and likely immediate future, higher interest rates and inflation, and softer equities, have changed the fundamentals of PE market return drivers. The traditional exits formula of restructuring and selling assets, and distributing the proceeds, no longer applies, and the PE funds’ value creation playbook is being rethought.

As the market evolves and adapts to this new economic reality, PE firms are getting innovative. As they increasingly employ creative deal structures to enable them to delay selling assets and maintain access to liquidity, they are also looking at new ways to effect large-scale corporate transformation and new markets for future growth. This innovation can benefit the PE firms and their investors, but the risks from potential conflicts of interest have highlighted potential challenges with asset valuations and PE firm governance. Some market commentators have also questioned the potential for risk as PE firms explore debt and retail markets for new avenues of value creation.

This PE market evolution echoes some of the changes evident following the Great Financial Crisis. But it also demonstrates the innovation and flexibility that sets PE firms apart in their pursuit of the best possible returns for their investors. As large PE firms expand into new markets, and niche PE firms become increasingly attractive acquisition targets, many market analysts predict that sectoral consolidation may lead to a leaner, more innovative market in the wake of these challenges.

This report by Clayton Utz, in partnership with The Action Exchange, also explores the innovation that PE firm managers are employing to continue to realise returns during a challenging economic environment.

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Clayton Utz communications are intended to provide commentary and general information. They should not be relied upon as legal advice. Formal legal advice should be sought in particular transactions or on matters of interest arising from this communication. Persons listed may not be admitted in all States and Territories.